Temporal regression

This notebook illustrates fitting a Gaussian process for daily average Nitrous Oxide levels with data from the Liverpool site from date 1 onwards.

0. Prepare Environment

1. Load Dataset

2. Type II Likelihood Maximisation

3. Markov Chain Monte Carlo

3.1. Posterior Mean

3.2. Maximum A Posteriori

3.3. Posterior Credible Interval

4. Variational Inference

4.1. Posterior Mean

4.2. Maximum A Posteriori

4.3. Posterior Credible Interval